India is top growing economy as per IMF and surpassed china on growth
front. The major villain to our current account i.e. oil is trading at
historically low level, Our forex Reserves are all time high, WPI inflation
negative and CPI in RBI’s targeted zone. Government is trying to push major
reforms at home although not very successful in this front. Stock market
touched a new high in 2015 but with a year it is trading at pre BJP era
government. So how these things are affecting investments in short term yes
there will be lot of volatility but when we talk about long term investments
will they really matter or there are some other important things we should
looks for. Lets see what matters most when we talk about investments especially
for long term:
1 1. How much we save: Obviously this will be the major
factor for the investments. Normally we save the leftover after our monthly
consumption i.e. saving = Income - Expenses. However the actual way should be
Income-Saving= consumption. So we should first takeout our savings and only
after that remaining part should be consumed.
The questions arises how much should we save?
As savings is very crucial to our financial well-being. Well, actually it would
be difficult to put down a number, but it is determined by several factors like
your age, income level, number of dependents and financial goals.
It's the amount of savings that matters for our
future net worth. Our savings should translate to proper investments because if
left (like in banks saving account) idle they would lose their purchasing value
over time.
2. How long we remain Invested: As the saving amount
is very important for investment, the value of these investments grows
according to the length /time period we kept those savings in the investments.
Compounding is the eighth wonder of the world. For example Rs. 5000/- per month
for 5 years @15% gives Rs. 4.48 lakhs on total investments of Rs. 3 lakhs, but
if we keep investing Rs. 5000/- per month for twenty years the future value of
these investments grows to 75.8 lakhs i.e. 16.91 times whereas our investment
amount increased by 4 times only. So the early we start we get more benefit out
of the same amount of investments.
3. Where we keep our savings: The proper allocation of
investments is equally important factor to determine our future wealth.
Investments should be properly diversified across various asset classes so as
to minimize risk on any particular category. Savings should be properly
allocated among mutual funds, shares, bonds, real estate and gold etc. The
proportion may depends upon various factors like age, risk appetite, income
level, no of dependents, source of income and financial goals. Further building
an asset allocation is not the end of the story but rebalancing from time to
time is equally important.
4. How much Taxes we Pay: Taxes are another important
factor to determine the class of assets. Like Income from Equities and Equity
mutual funds is tax free after one year and in Debt Mutual funds there is long
term capital gain tax benefits after three years. Whereas in Fixed Deposits we
pay TDS on the income accrued even if it is not paid. By selecting the proper
financial products and going for the right options (growth/dividend
payout/dividend reinvestment) and holding investments for adequate time periods
can minimize the tax outgo and shold be kept in mind.
5. Which of the Schemes we invest: As we all know that
over a longer duration equities will out beat inflation, however in equities
also there are various options like to invest in blue chip stocks, or mid-caps
go for some specific sectors etc. or invest through mutual funds. In debentures
and bonds also there are various options based on maturity, credit profile and
tradability etc. Right scheme selection based on our specific requirements and
risk appetite is equally important.
BSE sensex started in 1979 at 100 and today is is around 25000
i.e. 250 times return in 36 years which means if a person remains invested and
keep the money for longer duration chances of negative return/ losses are very
rate. To summarize market may keep moving up and down based on various factors
but if we talk about long term investments what matters more is amount we are
investing where it is being invested and for how long we keep this money to
earn along with proper tax efficient choices to earn more in honest and ethical
way.
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