Finally the biggest fears of equity
investors has become a reality now. Much speculated long term-capital gains
(LTCG) tax on equities is back. The proposal of LTCG made by the Finance
Minister on 1 February 2018 rattled the stock market, sending the markets on a
downward spiral. The Sensex is almost 2,000 points down since the announcement.
Although grandfathering of capital gains till 31 Jan 2018 i.e. LTCG earned up
to this date won’t be subject to tax—prevented the market from plummeting on
Budget day, but it could not rein in the fall the day after as there are other
negatives like continuation of STT, not providing indexation benefit to
long-term equity investors, etc. later will keep the sentiments down for the
time being.
1. Impact of LTCG
As proposed the LTCG tax is 10% without indexation
for equities. Currently for Debt funds there is 20% LTCG tax with indexation
benefit.
If we assume a return of 10% from both equity and debt
funds and 5% inflation.
The effective return post LTCG tax on
debt funds works out to be 9% {10- (10-5)*20%}.
And for equity also it will be 9% (10-1)%.
So if the returns are less than 10%
then indexation benefits (assuming 5% inflation) will reduce tax liability and
for more than 10% returns the 10% straight tax (without indexation) improves
the returns for the investors.
Normally we expect 10%+ returns in
the equities so indexation may not be very helpful in that case. However there
is also STT (Securities transaction tax) of 0.1% which will reduce the net returns
a little bit.
2. Who will be impacted?
i. (i) Individual investors who are
investing in Equities or Equity Mutual funds have to pay the tax.
(ii) Being trustee of investors’
money, Domestic mutual funds/Insurance companies, don’t have to pay LTCG tax so
for them there will be no impact. Only the investor when he redeems need to pay
the tax.
(iii) FIIs i.e. foreign institutional
investors will have to pay tax on their trades which will push up their costs.
Also, though the grandfathering clause provides some relief, it increase their
operational costs due to tax compliances.
3. What will be the impact on Market?
Now after the introduction of LTCG
tax, the difference between the STCG and LTCG is only 5% now. Due to this few
investors may wait for a year to sell. Investment decisions will now be based
on the market situation and not based on tax concerns as the 5% difference
between LTCG and STCG, will not be so lucrative for investors to wait for an
entire year just to avail of this extra tax benefits. Earlier even if they wanted to
book profits they normally use to stay invested for minimum one year
just to get the gains tax free now this will not be the case.
This will result into more volatility
in the stock market.
4. So what can an investor do?
Government has proposed that LTCG on
equities will be tax free up to ₹1 lakh per financial year. So for small
investors it may not impact much. For example if an investor is investing 5000
monthly SIP and expected return is 12% the total capital gain would be
approximate 1.12 lakhs after five years. So by taking some redemptions in
between he may not be required to pay any tax. Or for one time investor who has
invested 8 lakhs and with 12% returns it comes just 96000 so no need to pay tax
on the entire gain.
With a 10% Dividend Distribution Tax (DDT)
being introduced on Equity Mutual Funds only, the overall outgo in hand of
investor will reduce marginally. However the MF dividend remains tax free in
the hands of the investor. This is specifically for retirees. So it is better
to avoid dividend option in mutual funds.
However for large investors there
will be an impact which can be reduced to some extent by constantly booking
profits on regular intervals.
Since we can’t carry forward the ₹1
lakh sum—hence we cannot claim ₹10 lakh exemption over a 10 year period. So, we
will have to book profits each year. “Instead of accumulating capital gains
forever, investors now need to churn their portfolio (book profit and invest
again in other assets) on a regular basis to lower their tax liability.
So for very small investors there may
not be any effect if they book profit time to time and for large investors they
may have to pay some tax and hence to achieve their goals they may be required
to increase the investment amount by 10-12% so as to achieve their pre decided
goals.
To Conclude
It is more important than ever to
stop churning the portfolio of MF in the name of “More Returns” or “Asset
Allocation”. as we may save the 1% exit load but will incur the 10% LTCG., so we
should redeem only to book profit when it is reaching 1 lakh limit or the
scheme is not doing good.
Remember, the risk is in our
investment strategy not in the market. If we have put together an investment
for a Financial Goal no other asset class except equities (even after LTCG)
will allow us to achieve it.
Finally we must consult our advisor
to define priorities and risk profile before starting investments. It’s even
more important with the new tax regime in place.
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