For good health we should take balanced food. We
need all important ingredients like protein, carbohydrates, vitamins, minerals
calcium etc to live a healthy life. Similarly for
creating a good wealth a proper Asset allocation is one of the most important
factors. Various studies have shown that
major portion of the returns can be attributed to asset allocation. Still most
of the investors don’t focus on asset
allocation. In this article, we will try to find out some common asset
allocation mistakes that investors should avoid.
• First
thing first: Have definite Goal
Planning:
The first mistake we normally do,
that we start a journey without knowing where we want to go. Similarly most of
us start investing without having clarity that for what purpose we want to
invest. We sometime start investing because one of our friends has made money
and we also want to achieve it. There are others who want to invest in equity
because the market rose by nearly 50% last year and they feel they have missed
it. There are some who have excess funds that they do not know where to deploy
and want to evaluate options like fixed deposits, mutual funds etc. Lack of clarity
on the objectives results wrong investment decisions. Unless we have clearly
defined financial goals and time horizon we cannot determine the optimal asset
allocation.
• Fear or
Greed results into a wrong asset allocation
Due to fear we don’t invest in
certain asset classes and similarly out of greed we put on more than required
money in one asset class. If we are not investing in the desired asset classes
in the right proportion the result will be sub-optimal returns from the
portfolio. Allocating a sub-optimal portion of the investment portfolio to
equity is a common mistake most of the retail investors make. We should not
forget the impact of inflation and taxes in their investment planning. There
are several broad asset allocation guidelines that can help investors determine
suitable asset allocation for their individual needs. We have discussed some of
these in our post on 2nd June 2016 regarding Asset Allocation
strategies for different age groups. We should also note that while asset
allocation is commonly used to refer to the allocation between debt and equity,
it also includes other asset classes like real estate, gold, cash etc. One
should consider all these asset classes, when determining their asset
allocation.
• Think
Long:
We always crave for assured returns while our important
goals are long term in nature without realizing that assured returns this
reflects a short term focus, which in the long run can leave investors short of
their financial goals. While we prefer risk free high assured returns, we should
also understand that there is no such thing as assured returns in the long
term. Let us take the case of risk free fixed return products in India. 15 – 20
years back risk free assured return products were giving returns, as high as 14
– 15%. Now, it is almost impossible to find any risk free fixed return product
that will give anything higher than 9% pre-tax return. Extreme risk aversion
also makes investors oblivious to factors like inflation and taxes that
negatively affect their risk free returns. The investors in highest tax bracket
get the shock of their lives, when they come to know that they have to pay a
large amount of tax on their fixed deposit interest, even after the 10% tax
deduction at source. The truth is that taxability of fixed deposit interest is
nothing new. We are either uninformed or deliberately choose to ignore it
because of our short term focus.
• We want
the moon:
We want to get as much as possible
but not ready to take any risk. Unrealistic return expectation is another
common mistake in asset allocation which reflects the human’s greed and this
often leads investors compromising on their financial objectives. Lack of
awareness and human’s greedy nature is a root cause. Just because a stock price
doubled in a year, it does not mean that it will double next year also. Some
mutual funds gave 50% returns in the last one year, but expecting them to give 50%
returns this year is unrealistic. Real estate is one asset class, where
investors often have unrealistic expectations and this leads them to make the
wrong investment decisions. While lot of real estate investors made very
handsome returns, there are lot of investors who have lost and are still losing
money on their real estate investment. Possession delays, interest cost, market
dynamics, litigations and infrastructure delays can have a huge impact on real
estate investment. From being one of the most favoured investment sectors in the
hey days of the 2007 bull market, real estate has now become one of the most
unfavoured sector. The stock prices of real estate companies are just
reflections of the underlying problems the sector faces. It does not mean that
real estate will not be a good investment. But we need to make a well
researched investment decision with the appropriate time horizon. In order to
determine an optimal asset allocation, we need to have realistic return
expectations.
• Moving
from one to another won’t make you faster:
We try to time the market and
keep on changing asset allocation based on market conditions, but is this the
right strategy. It is like changing your trains at every stop so as to reach
your destination faster. This is another common mistake many of us tend to
make. One of the basic tenets of equity investing is buy low and sell high. However
most of the retail investors often tend to do the opposite. Investors sell
their equity mutual fund units or stop their SIPs in a bear market. Whether it
is to prevent further losses or waiting for the market to correct further,
investors should note that it is almost impossible to time the market. Many investors
who exited the market in 2008 and shifted to fixed income, invested again in
equities when the market was 3.5 times higher than the 2008 lows. On the other
hand investors, who continued their SIPs throughout the bear market and into
the bull market created wealth. There are some investors who shift their asset
allocation, when some other asset classes catch their fancy. There are
investors who shifted from equity to gold, when gold was rallying. Now, when
gold is giving negative returns over the last 2 years, they are regretting
that, they did not get into equities at the right time. There are other
investors, who sold their mutual funds to buy multiple properties because their
friends or relatives bought in some hot projects. Many of these properties did
not take off as anticipated and now these investors are complaining that they
have been left with these illiquid assets while having to service the home loan
debt at a high cost. Asset allocation comprises the right mix of equity, debt,
gold, real estate and cash. One should ensure that they maintain the proper mix
so that they can get consistent returns.
• Sitting
idle is equally dangerous:
Although changing asset
allocation frequently is a mistake, not changing it at all is also a mistake,
especially if we are nearing our financial goals. A person know to me, wanted to take an early retirement
from his job in 2010 and start his own business. He started planning for it
from 2000 onwards and based on the guidance of an excellent financial advisor
had the right mix of investments. By 2007 he was well on track towards his
retirement goal and plan of starting his business. Unfortunately in 2008, his
investments, which were heavily in equities, lost nearly 50% of in value. His
employee stock options, which he was hoping to exercise to invest in his business,
was 30% below the strike price and was worthless. What was worse that, he lost
all confidence and made several wrong investment decisions after that. Today he
is still working in the same company where he was working before. He is bitter
about what happened in 2008, but much wiser. His plan of early retirement
definitely had a setback, but he still plans to retire in the next 5 years.
Over the last 3 years he has started investing in equities again, only this
time he plans to shift his investments systematically to income funds through
systematic transfer plans (STP) two to three years before his planned
retirement. It is important that you shift your asset allocation to less risky
assets when you near your financial goals.
So what
we learned?
AS discussed above there are few
things which we should keep while making investment decisions. There are few
common asset allocation mistakes that can be avoided if planned properly. Proper
education regarding asset allocation and risk profiling will help to . We
should also educate ourselves about the various factors impacting the returns
of your assets. It is always prudent to seek the guidance of an experienced
financial advisor to make sure that we are on course towards our financial
goals.
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